Gold is up today rebounding since the end of July which is part of the normal sector cycles for this commodity. Normal sector cycle should continue until the end of December but will likely be extremely volatile. After December or near the end of this year Gold should continue its decline due to increases in U.S. interest rates.
It will be likely Gold will continue to decline to a point where it is 50% from it's all time high before another parabolic rise.
Stocks
Stocks are generally on the rise today due to the Fisher's comment. This rumor may also present a fantastic selling opportunity near the beginning of September when stocks rally to its high before the fed meeting.
The Dow Jones industrial average is still below the rate of increase of the US money supply and therefore should still have room to rise before a correction happens meaning it is safe to buy stocks today.
Globally speaking, the Chinese stock market bull is not over yet. The money supply in China currently shows there should still be room for a 2000 points increase in the SSE.
And for those of you in Hong Kong, do not worry from the last huge drop as the bull run should not be over yet. Liquidity is still higher than where the stock market is today and therefore in the long run the HKEX should test it's highs again. Take the current prices as an opportunity to purchase shares in companies with good fundamentals.
US housing should continue to rise as the rate of lending for housing has dramatically decreased while the amount of money available to lend has increased. Buying a house now in the United States should on average be a good investment.
The housing prices for China has fell dramatically since the beginning of 2014 and a bottom seems to have been reached. Purchasing a house in China now should on average be a good investment.
Back home in Canada, the increase in money supply due to decrease in interest rates should allow the average home price to continue upwards in a steady pace.
In Hong Kong, the rate of lending for purchasing houses is higher than the rate of increase of the money supply. It is highly probable that the average home prices will start to decline. Besides, an increase in interest rate to the USD will cause the pegged HKD to increase in value further pressuring the housing market. It is not recommended to purchase a home in Hong Kong right now.
Oil
According to legendary investor Jim Rogers, normally when prices falls there is a dead cat bounce and then a retest of the lows. Then oil will go its merry way and surprise the market by going back up and staying up.
Today, Brent Crude recovers from 6-month low may mark the completion of the lows. Brent crude has touched $48.20 early Monday, the lowest level since January 30th, as Chinese trade data released over the weekend showed that demand for oil and other commodities may weaken. Yet as of 13:09 ET, the brent recovered 3.5% to $50.3.
Currencies
USD fell today due to Fisher's comment suggesting there may not be a rate hike during the September meeting surprising the market. This represents a possible buying opportunity for the USD for the next half a year to a year as rate hikes will come this year.
Globally speaking, the USD is still currently a favorite in currency relative to many of the G20 nations due to the near term expected interest rate rise while many other countries are still devaluing their currency. However, in the long run, you must be wary that the USD is no safe haven and should be ready to move cash out when the opportunity arises.
Key Rates
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